Hard Border's Sharp Edges by Jared DuBois
Of all the recommendations made in the study, "The Eastern Latvian Border:
Potential for Trans-Frontier Co-operation with Russia", by Daina Bleiere
and Rolands Henins, to deal with the problems and challenges toward its
border with Russia, I find the ninth recommendation the most telling, that
"government institutions must devote more attention to the negative
influence which the border has on the lives of border region residents,
but this attention must not hinder national security or the strength of
the border." (1) Many of the
so-called recommendations on how to deal with the issue are similarly vague,
such as the third, "consider structural efficiency"
or the seventh, to "study Euroregions".
(2) In fact, many of the proposed recommendations
are simply pointing out areas which the authors feel should be studied
more, as well proposals that such further studies would be ideal for receiving
European Union grants to improve the situation. Only academics and Europeans
could call further studies as proposed "solutions"
to problems. The real solutions require greater investing directly into
the region by both government and private enterprises, but that is unlikely
to be done soon without increased border cooperation. Without that commitment
to investment or cooperation, it makes "devoting
more attention" and conducting more studies seem like an palatable
substitute for real progress.
I find the ninth recommendation to be the most indicative of the real situation
because I feel it points out the situation most clearly, as well as the
limits of what can be done. The recent border between Latvia and Russia
went from being a "soft" border to being a
"hard" border, (3) and
it will only harden further as European integration proceeds. A soft border
can be defined as easily crossed and not an impediment to business, commerce,
or travel. A hard border can be an obstacle to business, travel,
and commerce requiring visas for travel, cost-prohibitive licenses, fees,
or extra taxes or duties on doing business in or moving goods across the
border. Hard borders are walls which can constrict the circulation or life
blood of a society economically speaking, and poverty can increase around
them because of this isolation, cutting them off in those directions from
the areas around them, like peninsulas, but unlike water, borders can be
even less easily traversed as the distance is political, not environmental,
and that distance can be severe.
The ninth recommendation, as I mentioned, not only suggests a need to look
into possible negative effects of the new border, but also even the "attention"
paid must "not hinder the national security or
the strength of the border", as if just studying about the issue
can be a threat to stability. In other words, it is admitting that there
can be increased problems such as greater poverty in regards to areas around
the border, but that even just talking about those issues must be begun
or allowed only in a way that does not include any discussion of weakening
or "softening" of the border.
One of the greatest advantages to EU membership is to participate in the
Schengen Agreement, to reduce effective barriers between your state and
the rest of the European Union, thus allowing greater movement of business
across other borders that will soften as a result of being allowed to join
such an agreement when it comes into force for your country. Other border
towns toward EU member states would benefit, the country as a whole would
benefit, but only as long as the "strength" of
the non-EU "outside" border is up to those
standards a that would permit membership in such a free market and unrestricted
border zone.
So while some areas of the country will benefits from freer, less restricted
movements of goods, services, and people, towns up against the new wall
will become more isolated as they become the new outer border of the EU,
which must be strengthened and maintained more rigorously. While such newer
suggested studies can recommend that more money be put into development
projects in these newer economically hard hit "harder"
border regions that have been more cut-off from their surroundings, common
sense dictates that even greater amounts of money than now will be spent
increasing the infrastructure of the regions not cut-off, but now are more
opened up to other regions to attract even greater movement of goods through
their countries. Given a choice to build better roads to now more isolated
regions of their country, one might think it would make more sense economically
for Latvia to first build better roads across their country aimed at increasing
interstate commerce between the capitals and other major cities of the
region not outside the EU borders. The areas of or along the best new circulation
routes would continue to get a greater share of investment and the regions
more isolated would get less development for the country as a whole to
gain the quickest economic development and the fastest return on investment.
On the Russian side of the border, it is another story. They cannot benefit
from a more closed, harder, strengthened border as Latvia can. The hardening
of their border to Latvia does not vastly increase their trading opportunities
as it does for Latvia, and the increased poverty on their side of the border
in Pskov Oblast will most likely get even less attention and less general
national relief as similar cut-off regions on the Latvian side of the border
might get government support.
In a lot of ways the situation in Pskov Oblast is similar to Kaliningrad
region after it was isolated from the rest of Russia. Though Pskov is not
completely cut-off from Russia as Kaliningrad, it is now a far less developed
part of Russia up against a wall of the EU to a large degree and can either
benefit from that proximity with greater cross-border trade and cooperation,
or suffer more than other regions if such agreements cannot be worked out.
Politics also has a direct connection on foreign investment. If the politics
of the region are perceived as stable, Pro-Western, being near the EU could
be as helpful for Pskov as it was for Kaliningrad in the 1990's, should
large Western companies choose to set up factories there as BMW and Kia
did in the Kaliningrad area. (4) However, this
was due not only to proximity but confidence in the local government in
the Kaliningrad region, and a freer hand to make such agreements with that
local government in a Free Economic Zone, with less interference from Moscow.
(5)
To lessen the poverty and disadvantages in being more isolated "on
the fringe" in towns near hard borders, more cooperation between
states and more investment into regions over the border promote cross and
mutual economic development. However, though both border town regions in
this case are relatively poor in regards to their respective countries,
investment is considered more in terms of the West investing into Russia,
than in Russia investing to shift its industries into the more expensive,
more heavily regulated EU. Selling to the EU, Russia has an interest in.
Building new factories or shifting jobs there, no. So while it is in Russia's
greater interest to work out border agreements if based on what would benefit
their local regions most, that is not necessarily the predominant influence
on national policy. Though one could argue not having agreements hurts
Russian towns near the border more than Latvians ones, by making large
foreign investments less attractive where Pskov might benefit as Kaliningrad
did, Russia being a much larger country than Latvia has found this an acceptable
loss because of ongoing hostilities and grievances with Latvia in general.
As I have mentioned, the political distance between regions can be more
severe than seas, or even oceans. The Cold War made some borders nearly
impenetrable, making it easier to go from New York to Tokyo for some than
to go from West Berlin to East Berlin, never mind from East Berlin to West
Berlin. While there is no Cold War currently, needing visas makes it difficult
and expensive for ordinary people to visit each other who were friends
and neighbors, or even to visit the graves of their own loved ones. Without
even border treaties, and often open hostility between governments manifested
in the press in place of greater inter-border cooperation, it is the ordinary
people who suffer.
The only
way in my opinion to increase that cooperation is by addressing the causes
of these grievances between the countries with open dialog and human to
human contact. That is why I commend the Latvian President, Vaira Vike-Freiberga,
for her decision to go to Moscow to attend the upcoming 60th anniversary
of the victory over Nazi Germany this May in Moscow, despite the criticism
by others in her country and other Baltic States that such a visit would
be caving into pressure by Russia to attend an event which will no doubt
be orchestrated to a maximum PR (Public Relations) effect by Putin. Such
a gesture costs nothing politically, and any PR spin by Putin on the meaning
of what it is which that visit symbolizes can be adeptly minimized or used
to her own advantage by giving her own interpretations, and if it were
to be unpopular in her country, could be shown as having political courage.
However since most are evenly divided or in favor of such a visit, such
political courage is not necessary, just the will to overcome the risk
of being portrayed negatively or used politically by someone else. Should
a border agreement result, such fleeting words in newspapers will not matter
so much as beginning to have the prospect for a more solid written foundation
to build greater inter-border cooperation upon.
Though the hostility and disagreements which make these particular border's
issues are profound, such greater issues ignore or supercede the needs
of the people in the regions near the borders. On the Baltic side, they
are willing to sign finalized border treaties which can be the foundation
of other agreements, though that is not as immediately as important to
them as when it was once a requirement for them to join NATO. On the Russian
side, having in the past believed it was more important to "punish"
the Baltic states of Latvia and Estonia by denying them the border treaties
which they so badly had wanted, even if Russian border towns stood to benefit
from such agreements as well, cited Russian minority issues and treatment
in those countries as the primary reason for not signing such agreements.
These local border issues and Russian minority issues are now seen as part
of a greater EU / Russian border situation, and hopefully this will lead
to some progress in finalizing the borders, which can stand to benefit
the towns caught in the middle of international political wrangling over
borders which have been more or less long agreed upon. So while the cooperation
needed for accelerating economic development into the region has been stalled
until now, greater studies into the problem get recommended as if studying
the problem in ever greater detail means anything good would come to the
people adversely affected by now having less or limited inter-border cooperation
or understandings. Conduct all the questionnaires, print all the positive
stories you want in newspapers about how great or just-like-you the people
on the other side of the border are, but peoples' attitudes are not the
major obstacles that border regions face. Even if they hated each other,
they still most likely would be willing to do business with each other
if it were not for the hurdles that having to go through borders creates
for doing business with those on the other side if they saw it as potentially
profitable enough.
Thus I believe there is a real chance that moving the issue from simply
being bilateral state to state issues into a greater EU/Russia context
will help it overcome the negative feelings between the capitals which
have kept such cooperation from becoming more developed as borders between
friendly states or even just civil neighbors. The more contacts there are,
the more people can more easily work, travel, and do business on the other
side, the more likely friendships or at least better working relationships
between the states and peoples can occur and will develop.
The border between EU member states and Russia will most likely have to
be a "hard" border for some time to come.
Differences in rule of law, differences in the perceived effectiveness
of law enforcement and corruption, economic disparities, will most likely
result in an even greater hardening of the border in the future, but hopefully
managed and offset somewhat by greater and more flexible border agreements.
Also more broadly defined and stricter enforcement of borders is always
a political football issue and no side or political party in the European
Union would likely wish to argue in favor of more open or porous borders.
(6) However, the harder the borders become,
the more the daily reminders you have that those on the other side are,
and will always be the "other", (7)
and you start to build something psychological, a wall of a different sort,
a feeling which can remain like a ghost, long after even if all borders
were to come down and become non-existent, as in the case of East and West
Germans who still tend to think of themselves in those terms, and might
still for a generation or two more.
© 2005 By Jared DuBois 1) Daina Bleiere and Rolands Henins, "The Eastern Latvian
Border: Potential for Trans-Frontier Co-operation with Russia", Latvian
Institute of International Affairs, January 2004, Pg. 70
|